Official ICAR-National Soybean Research Institute market intelligence, citing UPAg first advance estimates, projects India's soybean production for 2025-26 at 142.66 lakh tonnes from 123.53 lakh ha. This is 6.56% below the 2024-25 estimate of 152.68 lakh tonnes from 129.52 lakh ha.

The same official table estimates Rajasthan's soybean area at 9.80 lakh ha in 2025-26, a 14.80% decline from the previous year. Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Rajasthan remain major soybean states by area, but the article's earlier Hadoti-region 12% contraction and 20% Madhya Pradesh yield-decline claims could not be confirmed from allowed sources. Any soybean shortfall matters for edible oils because PIB states that around 60% of edible oils consumed in India are met through imports.