The UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025, titled 'Off Target', warned that despite new climate pledges, the world remains on course for 2.3-2.5 degrees Celsius warming, far exceeding the Paris Agreement's 1.5 degree goal. Global emissions must fall 35% for 2 degree and 55% for 1.5 degree targets by 2035.

Only 9 of 20 G20 members are on track to meet existing NDC targets. The 1.5 degree ceiling will likely be breached by 2035. Climate finance needs tripling by 2030 and remains significantly underfunded. On a positive note, renewable energy costs have dropped sharply and 90% of global emissions are now covered by NDCs. India has committed to 500 GW non-fossil fuel-based electricity capacity and 45% emission intensity reduction by 2030.