The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised India's GDP growth forecast for FY 2025-26 by 20 basis points to 6.6% in its latest World Economic Outlook report, citing a strong first quarter when the economy grew at 7.8%. This positions India as the world's fastest-growing major economy, outpacing China which is projected to grow at 4.8%. Under the baseline assumption of prolonged 50% US tariffs, real GDP growth was projected at 6.6% in FY26 before moderating to 6.2% in FY27. India became the world's fourth-largest economy in 2025 and is on track to become the third-largest with projected GDP of USD 7.3 trillion by 2030.