The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised India's GDP growth forecast for FY 2025-26 by 20 basis points to 6.6% in its latest World Economic Outlook report, citing a strong first quarter when the economy grew at 7.8%. This positions India as the world's fastest-growing major economy, outpacing China which is projected to grow at 4.8%. Under the baseline assumption of prolonged 50% US tariffs, real GDP growth was projected at 6.6% in FY26 before moderating to 6.2% in FY27. India became the world's fourth-largest economy in 2025 and is on track to become the third-largest with projected GDP of USD 7.3 trillion by 2030.
IMF Raises India's GDP Growth Forecast to 6.6% for FY 2025-26 — Fastest Growing Major Economy
IMF raised India's FY26 GDP forecast to 6.6% (up 20 bps) citing 7.8% Q1 growth; India fastest-growing major economy ahead of China (4.8%).
Key facts
- IMF raised India's GDP growth forecast for FY 2025-26 by 20 basis points to 6.6% citing strong Q1 growth of 7.8%
- India positioned as the world's fastest-growing major economy, outpacing China (projected at 4.8%)
- Under baseline assumption of prolonged 50% US tariffs, growth projected at 6.6% in FY26 and 6.2% in FY27
- India became the world's fourth-largest economy in 2025
- On track to become third-largest economy with projected GDP of USD 7.3 trillion by 2030
Mains angle
Q: Analyse the IMF's revised 6.6% GDP growth forecast for India in FY 2025-26 and India's trajectory to becoming the world's third-largest economy by 2030.
Answer (50 words):
IMF raised India's FY 2025-26 GDP forecast by 20 basis points to 6.6%, citing 7.8% Q1 growth and outpacing China's 4.8%. Under prolonged 50% US tariffs, FY27 moderates to 6.2%. India became the world's fourth-largest economy in 2025, projected to reach third with USD 7.3 trillion GDP by 2030, reaffirming fastest-growing status.
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Source: Business Standard
Frequently asked questions
How did IMF revise India's FY 2025-26 GDP growth forecast?
The IMF raised India's GDP growth forecast for FY 2025-26 by 20 basis points to 6.6% in its latest World Economic Outlook report.
What first-quarter performance did the IMF cite for India?
The IMF cited a strong first quarter when India's economy grew at 7.8%.
How was India's growth positioned against China's projection?
India was positioned as the world's fastest-growing major economy. It was outpacing China, which was projected to grow at 4.8%.
What longer-term economic milestone was noted for India?
India became the world's fourth-largest economy in 2025. It is on track to become the third-largest with projected GDP of USD 7.3 trillion by 2030.
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