India officially surpassed Japan to become the world's fourth-largest economy, with a GDP of USD 4.18 trillion compared to Japan's USD 4.11 trillion, according to the government's end-of-year economic review released on December 30, 2025. NITI Aayog CEO confirmed the milestone in early January 2026.

IMF projections for 2026 put India's economy at USD 4.51 trillion versus Japan's USD 4.46 trillion. India is now positioned to surpass Germany within 2.5 to 3 years, targeting a GDP of USD 7.3 trillion by 2030. India remains the world's fastest-growing major economy with projected growth exceeding 6% over the next two years, driven by manufacturing, services, and digital economy expansion.