The Sixteenth Finance Commission, chaired by Dr. Arvind Panagariya, submitted its report for the award period 2026-27 to 2030-31, tabled in Parliament alongside the Union Budget on February 1, 2026. The Government accepted its key recommendation to retain States' 41% share in Central Taxes.

The Commission recommends the Centre reduce its fiscal deficit to 3.5% of GDP by 2030-31, while States should maintain a limit of 3% of GSDP. It marks a shift from an 'entitlement-based transfer system' to a 'compliance-driven fiscal model'. The report demands strict end to off-budget borrowings and recommends that states actively privatise electricity DISCOMs. Combined central and state debt is projected to fall from 77.3% to 73.1% of GDP by 2030-31.