Moody's Ratings projected India's real GDP to grow at 6.4% in FY27, making it the fastest-growing G20 economy. The projection was released on February 9, 2026. Growth is driven by strong domestic consumption, policy measures, and a stable banking system.

The GST rationalisation in September 2025 and increased personal income tax thresholds are expected to improve consumer affordability. Moody's expects growth of 6.5% in 2027. The projection is slightly below the Finance Ministry's Economic Survey estimate of 6.8-7.2%, but Moody's noted inflation remains under control with strong growth momentum.