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COP Milestones: COP26, COP27, COP28, COP29
3.1 COP26 — Glasgow (November 2021)
Host: UK; venue: Glasgow, Scotland
Key Outcomes
- Glasgow Climate Pact — committed to "phase down unabated coal" (not "phase out" — India and China pushed for "phase down")
- 1.5°C reassertion — countries urged to submit stronger NDCs by end of 2022
- India's Panchamrit — PM Modi announced five commitments (see key point 9)
- Mission LiFE launched by PM Modi
- CDRI (Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure) expanded
- Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ): $130 trillion private finance committed by 450 financial institutions
- Forest and Land Use: Over 100 countries pledged to end deforestation by 2030 — "Glasgow Forest Declaration"
- Methane Pledge: 100+ countries committed to 30% methane reduction by 2030 (India did not join)
- Article 6 finalised: Carbon markets rules after 6 years of negotiations — allows bilateral carbon credit trading between countries
3.2 COP27 — Sharm el-Sheikh (November 2022)
Host: Egypt
Key Outcomes
- Loss and Damage Fund created — historic breakthrough; specific fund agreed after 30 years of developing countries' demands
- Kept 1.5°C alive "on life support" — no new mitigation progress
- Sharm el-Sheikh Implementation Plan — urged fastest possible phase-down of coal and phase-out of inefficient fossil fuel subsidies
- Agriculture and food systems added to formal UNFCCC work programme (Koronivia Joint Work Programme)
- Adaptation commitments reinforced — National Adaptation Plans (NAPs)
What COP27 Did NOT Achieve
No agreement on stronger/more ambitious NDCs; fossil fuel phase-out language blocked by oil-producing nations; "loss and damage" agreed without specifying contributors.
3.3 COP28 — Dubai, UAE (November–December 2023)
Host: UAE; President: Sultan Al Jaber (CEO of ADNOC — controversial choice)
Key Outcomes
- First Global Stocktake (GST) concluded: World "not on track" for 1.5°C; current policies lead to ~2.7°C; urgent course correction needed
- "Transition away from fossil fuels" — first time fossil fuels explicitly named in a UNFCCC outcome; language reads "in a just, orderly and equitable manner" by 2050; not "phase out" but historic nonetheless
- Loss and Damage Fund operationalised: World Bank as interim host; pledges = $475 million (far short of the billions needed)
- Global Renewables and Energy Efficiency Pledge: Triple global renewable energy capacity (11.4 TW) and double energy efficiency improvements by 2030
- Health and Climate Declaration — 130+ countries
- Nuclear energy mention — first time in UNFCCC outcome; 20+ countries endorsed tripling nuclear capacity by 2050
3.4 COP29 — Baku, Azerbaijan (November 2024)
Host: Azerbaijan (second consecutive oil-state host; COP30 to be held in Belém, Brazil, November 2025)
Key Outcomes
- New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) agreed: Developed countries commit $300 billion per year to developing nations by 2035; also mobilise $1.3 trillion/year total from all public and private sources
- India and developing nations strongly pushed for $1 trillion/year — final amount criticised by India as "paltry"
- Article 6 Carbon Markets: Further operationalisation — UN carbon credit registry rules finalised
- COP30 to be held in Belém, Brazil (November 2025)
