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Key Points at a Glance
India's Total Trade 2023–24
- Merchandise exports: $437 billion; merchandise imports: $677 billion
- Merchandise trade deficit: ~$240 billion
- Total trade (goods + services) exceeded $1.6 trillion
- India ranks as the 8th largest trading nation
Comparative Advantage (David Ricardo, 1817)
- A country should specialise where its opportunity cost is relatively lower
- Applies even if another country has absolute advantage in all goods
- Forms the theoretical basis for free trade and WTO
- India's advantages: IT services, pharmaceuticals, textiles, gems/jewellery
Balance of Payments (BoP)
- Systematic record of all economic transactions between a country and the rest of the world
- Current Account: trade in goods, services, income, and transfers
- Capital & Financial Account: FDI, FII/FPI, loans, and reserve changes
- BoP must always balance accounting-wise
India's Current Account Deficit (CAD)
- 2023–24 CAD: $23.2 billion (0.7% of GDP) — well within manageable levels
- Sustainable threshold: ~2–3% of GDP
- Driven by: oil imports (
$232 billion) and gold imports ($45 billion) - Partially offset by: software services surplus (
$147 billion) and remittances ($120 billion)
India's Foreign Exchange Reserves
- $648 billion (April 2025) — world's 4th largest after China, Japan, and Switzerland
- Covers approximately 11 months of imports at current import rate
- Well above the 3-month minimum safety threshold
- RBI manages reserves through the Market Stabilisation Scheme (MSS)
FDI vs FII/FPI Distinction
- FDI: long-term investment with management control (≥10% equity)
- FII/FPI: short-term investment in securities (stocks, bonds) without control
- India received $70.9 billion FDI in 2023–24
- FPI flows are more volatile — can reverse suddenly ("hot money")
India's Key Export Commodities 2023–24
- Petroleum products: $96B | Engineering goods: $109B | Pharma: $28B
- Gems & jewellery: $40B | IT/software services: $227B
- India is the world's largest supplier of generic medicines — 20% of global generic exports
India's Key Import Commodities 2023–24
- Crude petroleum: $218B | Gold: $45B | Electronic equipment: $80B | Coal: $22B
- Trade concentration risk: top 3 imports (petroleum, electronics, gold) = 50%+ of total import bill
Remittances
- India is the world's largest remittance recipient — $120 billion in 2023–24 (World Bank)
- Remittances exceed FDI as a source of foreign exchange
- Top sources: USA (23%), UAE (18%), UK, Singapore, Kuwait
- More stable than FPI or FDI — less volatile
India's Trade Policy and Free Trade Agreements (FTAs)
- Active FTAs with: ASEAN (2010), South Korea (2010), Japan (2011), UAE (2022, CEPA), Australia (2022, ECTA)
- Negotiations ongoing with: UK, Canada, EU, GCC
- India withdrew from RCEP in 2019 citing concerns over Chinese goods flooding
EXIM Bank of India (1982)
- Provides export credit, foreign currency loans, and project export finance
- Supports India's foreign aid via Lines of Credit (LOC) to developing countries
- Focus regions: Africa, South Asia, South-East Asia
- Cumulative LOCs: $30+ billion to 63+ countries
India's Export Targets and Foreign Trade Policy 2023–28
- GoI targets $2 trillion total exports (goods + services) by 2030
- FTP 2023–28 (launched March 31, 2023) focuses on: export to districts, RODTEP, export clusters
- Also covers: trust-based compliance and e-commerce exports
